The No. 3 Alabama Crimson Tide meet the No. 11 Texas Longhorns in a headline-grabbing matchup on Saturday. The teams square off in the highest-profile matchup of the college football weekend, with Bryant-Denny Stadium hosting the festivities in Tuscaloosa. Alabama opened the 2023 season with a 56-7 win over Middle Tennessee State a week ago, and the Crimson Tide narrowly defeated the Longhorns by a point in 2022. Texas was also dominant in a 37-10 win over Rice last week, and the Longhorns will have revenge on their minds.
SportsLine consensus lists the Crimson Tide as 7-point favorites for this 7 p.m. ET kickoff. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 53.5 in the latest Texas vs. Alabama odds. Before making any Alabama vs. Texas picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. The proprietary computer model is off to a fast 4-2 start on all-top rated college football picks this season. Since its inception, it has generated a stunning profit of more than $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Alabama vs. Texas and just revealed its picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s CFB picks. Here are several college football odds and trends for Texas vs. Alabama:
- Alabama vs. Texas spread: Alabama -7
- Alabama vs. Texas over/under: 53.5 points
- Alabama vs. Texas money line: Alabama -287, Texas +231
- TEX: The Longhorns are 8-6 against the spread since 2022
- BAMA: The Crimson Tide are 7-6-1 against the spread since 2022
- Alabama vs. Texas picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why Texas can cover
The Longhorns have stellar units on both sides of the ball, and few FBS programs can claim superior history against Alabama. Texas is 7-2-1 all-time against Alabama, and the Longhorns fell by a narrow one-point margin last year in a game in which starting quarterback Quinn Ewers suffered a mid-game injury. On defense, the Longhorns held Rice to 176 total yards last week, and Rice produced only 27 rushing yards on 25 carries. Last season, Texas finished at or near the top of the Big 12 in points allowed (21.2 per game), yards allowed per pass (6.4), yards allowed per rush (3.3), passing yards allowed and sacks.
Alabama must replace standout quarterback Bryce Young, leaving uncertainty, and Texas has more stability at the most important position. In addition to quality depth, Texas has Ewers, who led Texas to 37 points last week and racked up four touchdowns in the process. Texas scored 34.5 points per game last season while throwing only seven interceptions over the full schedule, and the Longhorns have myriad talented options in the backfield and in the wide receiver room, headlined by Xavier Worthy. See which team to pick at SportsLine.
Why Alabama can cover
Alabama has an impressive profile on both sides of the ball, especially when projecting the team’s performance in Tuscaloosa. On defense, the Crimson Tide allowed only 18.0 points per game in 2022, and Alabama gave up only seven points in the 2023 season opener. Last season, Alabama gave up only 311.3 total yards per game with only 12 touchdown passes and 36 sacks. Nick Saban’s team also led the SEC with 5.6 yards allowed per pass attempt, and opponents gained only 3.5 yards per carry against Alabama. On offense, Alabama is on a three-game streak of scoring at least 45 points in each contest, and the Crimson Tide put up 41.1 points per game last season.
Alabama has a new starter at quarterback in Jalen Milroe, but he is surrounded by tremendous talent, including running back Jase McClellan. He returns after generating 655 rushing yards on 5.8 yards per carry last season, and McClellan notched a touchdown in the opener. Alabama is also riding a streak of 43 consecutive non-conference home wins, with each victory coming by at least a 14-point margin. Alabama is 58-1 in the last 59 games during the month of September, and no team in FBS has a longer home winning streak. The Crimson Tide have won 21 straight games at Bryant-Denny Stadium, and Alabama is 12-1 in the last 13 home games against ranked opponents. See which team to pick at SportsLine.
How to make Texas vs. Alabama picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 59 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits more than 60% of the time. You can see the model’s pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Alabama vs. Texas, and which side of the spread hits more than 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has notched a profit of almost $2,500 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.