College football odds, picks, lines, predictions for Week 10, 2023: Proven simulation backs Utah, Georgia

With the College Football Playoff committee revealing its initial list of the top teams in the nation, matchups between ranked teams are sure to have added emphasis in the coming weeks. The Week 10 college football schedule features four games between ranked opponents, including a pair of top-15 matchups in the SEC. No. 2 Georgia will host No. 12 Missouri on Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET while No. 8 Alabama will host No. 14 LSU in primetime with kickoff scheduled for 7:45 p.m. ET. Both those matchups are on CBS.

Georgia is listed as a 15-point favorite in their critical SEC East matchup while Alabama is a 3-point favorite over LSU in a battle with major SEC West implications. Meanwhile, No. 7 Texas is a 4-point favorite over No. 23 Kansas State in the Week 10 college football odds from the SportsLine consensus and No. 5 Washington is a 3.5-point favorite over No. 20 USC. Before locking in any Week 10 college football picks on those games or others, be sure to see the latest college football predictions from SportsLine’s proven model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a stunning profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest college football odds for Week 10 and locked in picks for every FBS matchup. Head here to see every pick.

Top college football predictions for Week 10

One of the college football picks the model is recommending for Saturday: No. 18 Utah (-11) bounces back against Arizona State at 2 p.m. ET on Saturday afternoon. The Utes suffered their second loss of the season against No. 8 Oregon last week in a blowout while Arizona State is coming off its first Pac-12 win under head coach Kenny Dillingham over Washington State.

However, the model is predicting some market overreaction on both sides. Utah has won five of the last seven in this rivalry, including wins in each of the last three head-to-head meetings. The Utes won 21-3 in 2019, 35-21 in 2021 and 34-13 last season on the road, covering the spread in all three matchups. Despite giving up 35 points at home to Oregon last week, Utah has one of the nation’s best defenses. The Utes rank 18th in the country in points allowed per game (17.5) while the Arizona State offense ranks 118th in scoring (19.6 ppg). That’s a big reason why the model has Utah covering in well over 60% of simulations.

Another prediction: No. 1 Georgia (-15) cruises to another blowout win at home against Missouri in a SEC on CBS matchup that kicks off at 3:30 p.m. ET. After failing to cover the spread in any of their first five games, the Bulldogs have covered their number in two of the last three games, including in a 43-20 win over Florida as a 14-point favorite last week.

Georgia, the two-time defending NCAA champions, has won its last three SEC games by a combined 131-53 score, winning by an averaging margin of 26 points. The Bulldogs are better resembling the dominance inside the program over the last few years and the Bulldogs have won 11 of 12 all-time meetings between the schools. Georgia has won the last four meetings by an average margin of 25.8 points per game over the last four years. Quarterback Carson Beck completed 19 of 28 passes for 315 yards and two touchdowns against Florida last week and he’s second in the SEC in passing yards (2,462). The model projects Beck to throw for more than 230 yards and two touchdowns as a key reason why the Bulldogs are covering the spread in more than 70% of simulations. See which other teams the model likes here.

How to make college football picks for Week 10

The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other FBS matchup in Week 10, and it’s calling for several underdogs to win outright. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.

So what college football picks can you make with confidence, and which underdogs win outright? Check out the latest college football odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned well over $2,000 in profit since its inception, and find out.

College football odds for top Week 10 games 

See full Week 10 college football picks, odds, predictions here.

Friday, Nov. 3

Boston College vs. Syracuse (-3, 50.5)

Colorado State vs. Wyoming (-6, 42.5)

Saturday, Nov. 4

UConn vs. Tennessee (-35, 53)

Notre Dame vs. Clemson (+3, 46)

Arkansas vs. Florida (-5.5, 49)

Ohio State vs. Rutgers (+18.5, 43)

Texas A&M vs. Ole Miss (-4.5, 53.5)

Kansas State vs. Texas (-5.5, 51.5)

Arizona State vs. Utah (-11, 41.5)

Army vs. Air Force (-18.5, 33.5)

Missouri vs. Georgia (-16, 56)

Virginia Tech vs. Louisville (-9.5, 48.5)

Penn State vs. Maryland (+10.5, 50)

Florida State vs. Pittsburgh (+21.5, 51)

Oklahoma vs. Oklahoma State (+6, 62)

California vs. Oregon (-24, 57)

Purdue vs. Michigan (-32.5, 48.5)

Washington vs. USC (+4, 76.5)

LSU vs. Alabama (-3.5, 60.5)

Oregon State vs. Colorado (+13, 63)

UCLA vs. Arizona (+2.5, 53.5)

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