Welcome to the eighth Version of the Davante Adams vs DeAndre Hopkins ADP Battles Review
This week we’re going to take a look at a few ADP battles among RBs and determine who’s the better choice at a similar ADP. The ADP associated with each back is that the NFFC ADP for the month of May. By now you are aware a gamers ADP is a tool and you don’t draft based on what the amount is. You want to pick the best player which you can with every pick and that is the purpose of this.
Ekeler is your guy for the Chargers now and fantasy players have set a great deal of faith in him, but is he a much better pick than Chubb? To top things off, the Browns have improved their offensive line together with the accession of right tackle Jack Conklin and through the draft, with their first round pick for left handle Jedrick Willis Jr.. They also improved enormously at tight end by registering Austin Hooper.
Chubb has a large advantage on the ground over Ekeler, but a massive gap in their receiving ability makes this a close fight. Chubb finished with 36 receptions for 278 yards and no touchdowns on 49 goals, meanwhile Ekeler completed with 92 receptions for 993 yards and eight touchdowns on 108 targets. In a standard league their ADPs would have a broad gap with Chubb winning in a landslide, but in a PPR league that is a participant’s choice pick.
What a difference a year and a half makes. Gurley’s knee difficulties have lowered his fantasy value vastly and his lackluster 2019 year makes it hard to imagine a bounce back. He rushed for 857 yards and 12 touchdowns while averaging just 3.8 yards per carry. He also hauled in just 31 passes for 207 yards, each of which were by far his lowest totals since his rookie season. However, his major deficiency of touchdowns last season (three total), makes this nearer than it likely would be.
That being said, there is almost no way that Fournette’s touchdown total will be that low again as even backs on the worst team’s usually score more touchdowns than that, particularly when given the type of volume that Fournette is provided. Gurley heads to a new team, but it shouldn’t help him bounce back, as he played for a high powered offense that led to lots of scoring opportunities. Fournette is in a contract year, he’s healthy, and he is going to acquire the quantity of bits which we want out of our back.
Both of these backs have a near ADP, but this one is not all that close for me. Carson finished fifth in rushing yards last season with 1230 while finding the end zone seven times. He also hauled in 36 passes for an extra 266 yards and 2 touchdowns. Meanwhile, Johnson seemed completely washed up as he hurried for 345 yards and 2 touchdowns while averaging just 3.7 yards per carry, his second consecutive season with a sub-4.0 yards per carry average. He also hauled in 36 passes for 370 yards and four touchdowns. If it wasn’t for Kenyan Drake we could say Johnson’s battles were due to his group, however, Drake averaged nearly 5.0 yards per carry and looked better than Johnson by a wide margin that it created DJ seem even worse. I guess people believe that the change of scenery will result in a bounce back season for DJ, but I’ll take Carson if these two are about the board ten times out of ten.
David Montgomery (52.50) vs. Mark Ingram (52.92)
If we left our selections purely based on last season’s stats, this could be Ingram by a fantastic bit; however, that’s obviously not what we do and a lot has changed. Montgomery is no longer a rookie and he’s had time to improve in areas that needed improvement. He is the guy in Chicago and that he should see a fantastic volume of bits. Ingram is now 30-years old along with the Ravens used another round draft choice to select an extremely gifted back in J.K. Dobbins. These are just two backs trending in various directions. Ingram does perform at the better crime, but a massive drop in quantity should be expected, and that is obviously not ideal for fantasy purposes. I shall take my chances of Montgomery and hope for a breakout effort. I really don’t see any scenario where I would regret passing up on Ingram between both, but I could see a situation where I’d regret passing up on Monty.
Kerryon Johnson (104.26) vs. Jordan Howard (105.02)
To be blunt, this one isn’t close for me. Johnson has never had a powerful fantasy season to this stage and there’s absolutely no reason to think that can change this season that the Lions chosen D’Andre Swift in the next round of the draft. Johnson’s best case scenario is a timeshare. The Lions haven’t really shown that they have any clue how to utilize running backs recently, so it is hard to envision a back in a timeshare excelling.
In terms of Howard, he is that the Dolphins starting tailback and also a veteran that we have seen put together multiple powerful fantasy seasons already. He’s got a clear-cut function as an early down back that will also get carries on the target line. Miami isn’t a powerhouse crime by any means, but Howard is a continuous back that will find the task finished. People probably see him as a bit boring, but dull production is a lot more exciting than no production. Howard is your option here, no matter scoring format.