Wake Forest vs. Duke odds, line, spread: 2023 college football picks, Week 10 predictions from proven model

It’s a short turnaround after tough losses for the Duke Blue Devils and Wake Forest Demon Deacons when they face off Thursday in a Week 10 matchup. The ACC rivals have both been sliding, with Duke (5-3, 2-2 ACC) losing 23-0 to Louisville last week and Wake Forest (4-4, 1-4) getting routed 41-16 by Florida State. It was the Blue Devils’ third loss in four games, and Wake has lost four of five since the start of its ACC schedule. The teams met at Duke’s Wallace Wade Stadium last November, and the Blue Devils won 34-31.

Kickoff at Wallace Wade Stadium is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. The latest Wake Forest vs. Duke odds from the SportsLine consensus list the Blue Devils as 12.5-point favorites, and the over/under for total points scored is 45. Before locking in any Duke vs. Wake Forest picks, be sure to check out the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a stunning profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Wake Forest vs. Duke and just revealed its picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine to see the model’s CFB picks. Here are several college football odds and trends for Duke vs. Wake Forest: 

  • Wake Forest vs. Duke spread: Blue Devils -12.5
  • Wake Forest vs. Duke over/under: 45 points
  • Wake Forest vs. Duke money line: Deacons +367, Blue Devils -490
  • WAKE: Is 4-2 ATS in its past six games as an underdog. 
  • DUKE: Is 8-3 ATS at home since the start of last season.
  • Wake Forest vs. Duke picks: See picks at SportsLine
  • Wake Forest vs. Duke live stream: fubo (try for free)

Why Duke can cover

The Blue Devils, who are 8-4 against the spread in ACC games since the start of last season, have one of the ACC’s best running games. However, the Demon Deacons have the conference’s worst pass defense (256.5 yards per game), so quarterback Riley Leonard could take to the air. Leonard threw for 391 yards and four touchdowns in this matchup last year, and Jalon Calhoun had 11 catches for 174 yards. Leonard has 1,102 passing yards and 352 yards on the ground in 2023.

Calhoun is averaging a team-high 14.5 yards on his 30 receptions, and Jordan Moore leads the team in receptions (33) and yards (440). Duke is 7-0 ATS in its past seven matchups with unranked teams and will really want to win their only home date over a five-game stretch. The Blue Devils’ defense allows just 15 points per game, ninth-best in FBS, and ranks 11th in the nation against the pass (171 yards). Wake Forest averages just 3.4 yards per rush (115th). See which team to pick here.

Why Wake Forest can cover

The Demon Deacons are 2-2 ATS as an underdog, and they will be pleased to be past the Florida State game. They lost that one big, but they knocked off Pittsburgh 21-17 in their previous game behind 172 rushing yards. Wake has three running backs who average at least 4.5 yards per carry, and Demond Claiborne and Justice Ellison have combined for 918 rushing yards. Quarterback Mitch Griffis has 1,292 passing yards and nine touchdown passes.

Receiver Jahmal Banks has 42 catches for 476 yards, and Wesley Grimes is averaging 18.7 yards on his 16 receptions. The Deacons defense has 18 sacks and 11 takeaways and could create trouble for Leonard. The Duke quarterback is throwing three interceptions for every TD pass over the past three games. Jasheen Davis (5.5 sacks) and Jacob Roberts (five) will apply the pressure, and DaShawn Jones (three interceptions) can make plays on the back end. See which team to pick here.

How to make Wake Forest vs. Duke picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 55 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine

So who wins Duke vs. Wake Forest, and which side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has notched a profit of well over $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out. 

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